回复2楼:确实有兴趣的可以去搜下他的原文:(1) A countries birth, including new leadership; (2) Government built and refined; (3) Peace and prosperity; (4) Great excess in spending and debt, and widening of wealth and political gaps; (5) very bad financial conditions and intense conflict; and (6) civil war/revolution. 他认为美国现在在第五阶段。